Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000189 0.000205 0.000221 0.000240 0.000261 0.000284 0.000311
2024-10-13 0.000165 0.000187 0.000213 0.000244 0.000281 0.000325 0.000381
2024-10-20 0.000148 0.000173 0.000203 0.000241 0.000288 0.000347 0.000426
2024-10-27 0.000140 0.000168 0.000202 0.000247 0.000306 0.000382 0.000491
2024-11-03 0.000128 0.000157 0.000192 0.000240 0.000306 0.000393 0.000524
2024-11-10 0.000120 0.000148 0.000185 0.000237 0.000308 0.000408 0.000563
2024-11-17 0.000112 0.000141 0.000178 0.000232 0.000309 0.000419 0.000597
2024-11-24 0.000107 0.000136 0.000175 0.000232 0.000316 0.000440 0.000647
2024-12-01 0.000102 0.000132 0.000172 0.000231 0.000321 0.000459 0.000697
2024-12-08 0.000099 0.000129 0.000171 0.000234 0.000332 0.000485 0.000762
2024-12-15 0.000094 0.000124 0.000166 0.000230 0.000332 0.000496 0.000802
2024-12-22 0.000091 0.000121 0.000164 0.000230 0.000338 0.000517 0.000862
2024-12-29 0.000088 0.000119 0.000163 0.000234 0.000351 0.000551 0.000954
2025-01-05 0.000086 0.000118 0.000163 0.000238 0.000365 0.000589 0.001063
2025-01-12 0.000082 0.000113 0.000159 0.000235 0.000367 0.000605 0.001127
2025-01-19 0.000081 0.000113 0.000160 0.000241 0.000385 0.000653 0.001272
2025-01-26 0.000077 0.000108 0.000154 0.000234 0.000379 0.000655 0.001311
2025-02-02 0.000074 0.000104 0.000150 0.000231 0.000379 0.000668 0.001378
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000100 0.000146 0.000226 0.000376 0.000676 0.001434
2025-02-16 0.000069 0.000098 0.000144 0.000227 0.000383 0.000703 0.001546
2025-02-23 0.000067 0.000096 0.000142 0.000226 0.000388 0.000727 0.001654
2025-03-02 0.000066 0.000095 0.000142 0.000228 0.000398 0.000766 0.001816
2025-03-09 0.000063 0.000092 0.000139 0.000225 0.000397 0.000777 0.001897